Kirit Bhansali, chairman of the Gem & Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC), attributed the sharp decline to geopolitical tensions, a slowing US economy, and a complete halt in diamond purchases from China, traditionally the second-largest buyer after the US.
India plays a dominant role in the global diamond supply chain, with nine out of 10 natural diamonds cut and polished in the country, mostly in Surat.

The overall gems and jewellery exports in FY25 fell by 11.72% to $28.5 billion, down from $32.28 billion in FY24, according to GJEPC.
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Gold jewellery exports were the most resilient, registering a marginal decline of just 0.11% to $11.21 billion, GJEPC said.
The export slump has also led to a 24.27% decline in rough diamond imports, which fell to $10.8 billion in FY25 from $14.26 billion the previous year.
Tariff talks:
Bhansali said GJEPC is waiting for the outcome of India’s ongoing tariff negotiations with the US before issuing its outlook for gem and jewellery exports in FY26.
The industry on Monday formally presented its key demands for the proposed India-US Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) to the government at a meeting with Shaktikanta Das, principal secretary to the prime minister.
The US government should include it in the Annexure II of goods, which are waived from its reciprocal tariffs, he added.
The council also urged the government to fast-track duty relief for the gem and jewellery sector under the Early Harvest component of the BTA. With only a three-month grace period before the US imposes a 26% reciprocal tariff on India-made goods, the industry fears a potential standstill if swift action is not taken.
Exports of gem and jewellery
FY20 - $35.59 billion
FY21 - $25.51 billion
FY22 - $39.51 billion
FY23 - $37.74billion
FY24 - $32.29 billion
FY25 - $28.5 billion