NIFTY OUTLOOK

MFs, FIIs load up defence stocks in Q4. Time for retail to act amid Indo-Pak tensions?
Amidst rising India-Pakistan tensions, defence stocks have surged, attracting heightened investor interest. Mutual funds increased holdings in 11 of 18 Nifty India Defence Index stocks in the March quarter, with BEML, Solar Industries, and MTAR Technologies leading the pack. While FIIs also increased stakes in several defence companies, some stocks experienced profit booking and selling pressure.

Market Wrap: D-Street ends flat as Kashmir jitters offset US trade deal optimism; Sensex sheds 46 points, Nifty below 24,350
Indian shares ended muted on Wednesday as caution stemming from escalating geopolitical tensions with Pakistan offset optimism over progress in U.S. trade negotiations. Gains in heavyweight HDFC Bank helped cushion the impact, while Bajaj Finance declined despite reporting a rise in fourth-quarter profit.

Sensex jumps over 100 points, Nifty tops 24,350; HDFC Bank, TechM lead gainers
Indian equity markets initially dipped due to geopolitical tensions with Pakistan, overshadowing positive signals from U.S. trade negotiations. However, the indices recovered, supported by sustained foreign institutional investor inflows and India's economic resilience. Experts advise investors to remain calm during crises, noting the market's surprising strength despite recent challenges.

Nifty traders, don’t sell in May - just sway. Here’s why the May myth crashes on Dalal Street
The old adage "Sell in May and go away" doesn’t hold true for Dalal Street. Data shows the Nifty delivered positive returns in six of the past 10 Mays, averaging a 1.5% gain. Even Wall Street defies the myth—S&P 500 has ended May in the green 31 times over the past 40 years.

Stocks to buy today: Havells, Biocon among top 6 trading ideas for 30 April 2025
Nifty today: Indian markets may open lower on Wednesday amid weak global cues. Nifty futures ended 0.10% lower at 24,429, while India VIX rose over 2%. Analysts see a broader trading range of 23,800–24,800. Chandan Taparia advises holding above 24,200 for upside. Experts recommend stocks like Care Ratings, Biocon, and Havells India for short-term trading.

India dominates global IPO scene, raising $2.8 billion in March quarter: EY report
India accounted for 22% of global IPO activity in Q1 2025, raising $2.8 billion across 62 IPOs. Strong investor interest and sectoral growth supported robust market momentum.
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Sensex & Nifty are healing. But will this revive the Rs 2 lakh crore IPO pipeline lying in dumps?
After a tepid start to 2025, the Indian IPO market is showing tentative signs of revival, buoyed by recovering secondary markets. A Rs 2 lakh crore pipeline awaits, with Ather Energy's IPO serving as an early test. Analysts are cautiously optimistic, anticipating increased activity in the second half of the year if stability persists and companies adopt realistic pricing strategies.
RIL logs highest one-day gain in 11 months, could rise 11-22% more
The conglomerate on Friday reported 2% growth in its consolidated net profit for the fourth quarter ended March 2025 and revenue from operations increased 10% year-on-year (YoY), exceeding analysts' expectations.
Nifty breaches key hurdle, jumps 300 points riding on RIL. Here’s Share.Market strategy on Reliance, 4 other stocks
On the downside, Nifty has immediate support levels at 23,800 and 23,300, which could provide a cushion in the event of further pullbacks. On the upside, a decisive move above 24,000 may pave the way for a rally towards the next resistance at 24,800.
Global mutual funds recover post Tariff lows. How long will momentum sustain?
Global markets have rebounded, fueled by a robust U.S. economy, resilient global growth, and significant European fiscal stimulus. While some international funds have delivered double-digit returns recently, experts advise caution, emphasising the importance of diversification and a focus on long-term fundamentals. India's strong growth and Europe's fiscal support make them attractive options.
RIL, bank stocks propel Sensex over 850 points higher, Nifty above 24,250
Indian markets surged on Monday, propelled by Reliance Industries' strong earnings and positive Asian market trends. The Sensex surpassed 80,000, while the Nifty50 neared 24,300. Geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan, along with fluctuating US-China trade relations, added uncertainty. Experts suggest sustained foreign investment is bolstering market resilience, despite potential consolidation indicated by recent trading patterns.
Top Nifty50 stocks analysts suggest buying in this volatile week
Stock Reports Plus, powered by Refinitiv, is a comprehensive research report that evaluates five key components of 4,000+ listed stocks – earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk, and price momentum – to generate standardized scores. The simple average of the above-mentioned five component ratings is normally distributed to reach an average score.
GIFT Nifty up 150 points; here's the trading setup for today's session
The holiday-shortened week brings focus on monthly auto sales data, IIP, and manufacturing PMI. Geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan remain a key concern. Technically, 23900-23800 acts as crucial support; breaching it could lead to a correction. FIIs turned net buyers, while DIIs sold shares. The rupee weakened amid geopolitical concerns.
F&O Talk | Markets rebound strongly, Nifty eyes 24,800 amid volatile outlook: Sahaj Agrawal
Indian indices opened higher but reversed due to profit booking amid rising India-Pakistan tensions. Nifty and Bank Nifty saw volatility, with sectors like IT and FMCG showing potential for future gains. Analysts suggest buying on dips with key support at 23,800 for Nifty and 54,000 for Bank Nifty.
Dalal Street Week Ahead: Consolidation likely as Nifty tests crucial support zones
After a strong rally, markets moved into consolidation last week, with the Nifty closing modestly higher while volatility surged. Key support zones around 23,900–24,050 will be crucial as external risks, including lowered IMF forecasts and geopolitical tensions, loom. Sector rotation continues, with PSU Banks and Commodities leading, while the IT and Auto sectors remain weak.
Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears weigh on Indian markets: Ajay Bagga
Indian markets face pressure due to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly between India and Pakistan, and the ongoing U.S.-China trade war. Analysts predict potential GDP growth slowdown to 6.3–6.5% for 2025, with expectations of two more RBI rate cuts to support the economy.
Nifty IT to see 4% upside: Rajesh Palviya sees rally extending toward 37,500
Despite geopolitical tensions and market volatility, key support levels in Nifty and Bank Nifty could guide near-term moves. While Grasim could be an attractive bid for the long term, Voltas may deliver a strong return in the short term.
F&O Talk | Sharp rally in sight for Nifty above 24,380, Bank Nifty may resume uptrend beyond 55,600: Sudeep Shah
Indian markets reversed early gains on Friday amid rising geopolitical tensions after terror attacks in Kashmir. Broader indices fell sharply, and technical indicators suggest Nifty may enter a consolidation phase. IT outperformed, while banking showed indecision at highs.
Axis Bank a buy after recent correction; prefer Canara Bank over SBI among PSBs: Pramod Amthe
InCred Capital is strategically adjusting its financial services portfolio. They are favoring growth-oriented companies with better liquidity. Axis Bank's recent correction is seen as a buying opportunity. The focus is on easing interest rates and credit availability. Canara Bank is preferred over State Bank of India in the PSU banking sector.
The problem of Pakistan couldn't have come at a worse time for Indian stock market. Will it limit upside?
Rising India-Pakistan tensions have rattled investor sentiment, causing a sharp market selloff. Analysts say the impact appears short-term and sentiment-driven, with a potential rebound likely next week. Weak earnings momentum, particularly in IT and FMCG, adds to market concerns. Mid- and small-cap valuations remain stretched, and policy uncertainty is expected to keep equity market volatility elevated.
InCred hikes Nifty target by 4%; adds Axis Bank, UPL to High-Conviction List
Despite earnings downgrades and market volatility, InCred Equities has increased its Nifty target to 24,280, encouraged by lower crude oil prices and expected good rainfall. Axis Bank and UPL are added to their high-conviction stock list. While cautious on Indian equities due to premium valuations and policy uncertainty, they upgraded construction sector to neutral.
F&O Radar| Deploy Short Strangle in Nifty for gains from a potentially consolidating index
Indian markets have seen a surge, fueled by optimism after a temporary tariff suspension. Nifty broke past 23,800, targeting 24,350, led by Banking, IT, Auto, and Realty sectors. Kotak Securities' Sahaj Agrawal suggests caution as the index consolidates, with oscillators signaling overbought conditions. A short strangle strategy is recommended, anticipating Nifty's consolidation between 23,700 and 24,600.
Sensex erases early gains, tanks over 950 points, Nifty slips below 24K as caution grips D-Street
Indian equity indices declined after initial gains due to a terrorist attack in Kashmir, heightening geopolitical concerns. The Sensex and Nifty fell, reversing earlier advances fueled by positive Wall Street cues and IT stock surges. Investor sentiment turned cautious, overshadowing positive FII inflows and global market gains, with experts advising caution amid escalating India-Pakistan tensions.
GIFT Nifty up 130 points; here's the trading setup for today's session
Indian equities experienced a slight downturn after a week-long rally, with the Nifty closing lower due to cautious investor sentiment and mixed global signals. Market direction will likely be influenced by global cues and upcoming Q4 corporate earnings.
F&O Radar | Deploy Bull Call Spread in Nifty for gains from bullish outlook on monthly expiry
Nifty’s seven-day winning streak signals bullish momentum, supported by strong base formation around the 24,000–24,200 range. Despite a spike in INDIA VIX, the index rebounded, closing near its high. Experts recommend a Bull Call Spread strategy for monthly expiry, targeting 24,500–24,800, with positive cues from PCR and max pain data.
IT stocks rise as bears cover shorts, with a new outlook
The Nifty IT index shot up 4.3% - posting its biggest single-day gain in 10 months. HCL surged 7.74%, followed by Coforge, Oracle Financial Services Software, LTI Mindtree and MPhasis, which ended 5-6.4% higher. The surge in IT stocks helped the benchmark Nifty close 0.67% higher on Wednesday.
Nifty roars past 24,000 for first time since January
The NSE Nifty gained 1.2%, or 273.90 points, to finish at 24,125.55. The BSE Sensex moved 1.1%, or 855.30 points, higher at 79,408.50. Both indices have surged up to 6% each in the past five trading sessions.
Nifty & Bank Nifty positive in medium, short-term; buy on dips: Somil Mehta
Somil Mehta from Mirae Asset Sharekhan forecasts a continued uptrend for Nifty and Bank Nifty, setting immediate targets at 24,500 and 56,000, respectively. He highlights PSU banks like Bank of Baroda and Canara Bank as promising within the financial sector. Bajaj Auto and Federal Bank are his top stock picks, with specific stop-loss and target levels.
Nifty on a strong uptrend, could aim at 24,550-24,850
The recent unfilled weekly upside gap is likely to be a bullish breakaway gap, which is normally formed at the beginning of sharp up-trended moves. The next upside target to be watched for Nifty is around 24,550 and 24,850 in next two weeks. Immediate support is at 23,500.
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