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    INDIA COAL OUTPUT

    Better placed for medium- to long-term investors: 6 large-caps from different sectors with an upside potential of up to 41%

    As a growing economy, India has been performing well. The slowdowns we have seen are cyclical in nature and will keep occurring occasionally. But the overall trend is that of growth. Hence, it is better to be bullish about India, rather than skeptical. Certain sectors have a strong relationship with the current economic cycle. Essentially, the per capita income of a country has a relationship with how the sector performs. As the per capita income moves up, the broader topline of the sector also moves up, but at a faster rate. In some cases it is slower as well. So, at this point of time, let’s focus on the faster ones.

    Trade tensions to hit India oil consumption: World Bank

    The World Bank forecasts that India's oil consumption will be negatively affected by escalating trade tensions. Globally, oil consumption growth is expected to slow significantly in 2025 and 2026. Despite falling global commodity prices, India's coal consumption is projected to rise, driven by government policy and the limited role of renewable energy in meeting electricity needs.

    These large-caps have ‘strong buy’ & ‘buy’ recos and an upside potential of more than 31%

    This is an undeniable fact. Most investors who have Rs. 1 lakh to invest would prefer to buy 5,000 shares of a small-cap company rather than put the same amount in Reliance and own just 73 shares. Or a Larsen and Toubro for just 30. Most investors also want the rapid returns that small- and mid-cap stocks seem to offer. We have, of course, nothing against small- and mid-caps. Some of them may indeed do well. Though many may not. The greater probability, however, is that, in the long term and from current levels, large-caps like RIL and LT may give higher returns and see less drawdown in volatile markets.

    Why dividend yield, ignored in bull markets, matters: 6 stocks with high dividend yield of 5-9%

    Nine months back there was hardly a stock with a dividend yield matching the interest rate of a savings bank (SB) account. Today, some have yields on par with fixed deposit rates. Now, consider a different point: The subjective nature of dividend payout and capital gains. Dividend payment is not only a function of how much money a company is making, but also a habit of the management, or its intent. There are companies sitting on cash piles but with low dividend-payout ratios. Capital gain is a function of many other things, some under the control of stock market players, and some not so much so. So, better focus on an element where there is still some certainty if management has the intent. And that is dividend yield.

    India urging firms to acquire overseas iron ore, coking coal assets, official says

    India is actively encouraging its steel companies to acquire overseas assets of essential raw materials like iron ore and coking coal. This strategic move aims to secure the supply chain as India aggressively expands its steelmaking capacity to 300 million tons by 2030. The country is also diversifying its coking coal import sources, exploring partnerships with nations like Mongolia.

    These large- and mid-cap stocks can give more than 27% return in 1 year, according to analysts

    If you look at the overall performance of the market over the past few months, it is undeniable that there have been phases where large-caps have underperformed while mid-caps have outperformed, and vice-versa. In this context, it would probably be better to have a combination of large- and mid-cap stocks in your long-term investing portfolio. As well as your trading portfolio. Because, whether we like it or not, the fact is that the volatility quotient of the market is likely to remain high over the next couple of months. The bias in India, however, may turn out to be bullish. Especially if the Q4 earnings continue to please the market.

    • Stay focused on business, the rest shall pass: 6 large-caps from different sectors with an upside potential of up to 44%

      In 2025, demand for air tickets is much higher than it was 10 years ago. Similarly, demand for expensive cars is much higher than it was a decade ago. Beyond big-ticket items, demand for, say, branded garments is also higher. During this 10-year period, the Nifty and Sensex have faced many challenges and seen volatile periods due to both domestic and global reasons. Why talk of all this now? Because, when uncertainty hits the street, it is time to look at sectors and stocks where, for one or the other reason, growth at a certain pace is assured. Does that mean all companies in a sector do well? The answer is no. So, select a sector. Then select a stock.

      These mid-cap stocks with ‘strong buy’ & ‘buy’ recos can rally over 26%, according to analysts

      When you are in the market as an investor, it is best to ignore what is happening to the Nifty and Sensex… especially on the day of expiry of monthly contracts in the derivative segment. The movement of the Nifty and Sensex would be impacted on that day by unwinding and rollover of positions. What needs to be watched, instead, is the Q4 earnings season. It has panned out well till now. If it continues in the same mode when mid-cap companies start to declare their results, it would be a bullish sign. But there is a caveat: There may be volatility caused by global events. It is something you should be ready for.

      The world's biggest companies have caused $28 trillion in climate damage, a new study estimates

      A new study estimates that the world's largest corporations have caused 28 trillion dollars in climate damage. Dartmouth College researchers calculated pollution from 111 companies. Top polluters include Saudi Aramco, Gazprom, and Chevron. The study aims to hold companies accountable, similar to tobacco firms. Researchers traced climate hazards back to specific emitters. The findings could impact climate liability lawsuits.

      Electricity demand powers March core growth to 3.8%

      India's core sector output experienced a 3.8% year-on-year increase in March, driven by higher electricity demand and robust construction-related sectors. Cement production led the growth at 11.6%, while crude oil and natural gas output declined. Overall, core sector growth for FY25 slowed to 4.4%, a four-year low, compared to 7.6% in FY24.

      These large-caps have ‘strong buy’ & ‘buy’ recos and an upside potential of more than 30%

      Why is President Trump gunning for the chair of the US Fed? Probably because he knows that his tariff war is bound to lead to inflation and he wants the US Fed to take pro-active measures, such as cutting interest rates. While that battle will continue, the question to ask is: What does a decline in US interest rates mean for us? It would mean a drop in the Dollar Index and some more money flowing to emerging markets. That’s bullish for India. So which stocks to focus on? Perhaps large-caps, as the six months of correction has brought many of them to a level where probably there is some comfort.

      India's infrastructure output increases 3.8% on-year in March

      The Index of Eight Core Industries saw a 3.8% increase in March 2025 compared to March 2024, driven by positive growth in cement, fertilizers, steel, electricity, coal, and refinery products. The cumulative growth for the period of April 2024 to March 2025 reached 4.4%. While most sectors expanded, crude oil and natural gas production experienced declines during this period.

      Coal Trade Exchange: Govt extends deadline until May 7 for comments on draft rules

      The Coal Ministry extends the deadline for public input on the Coal Trade Exchange rules. The new deadline is May 7, 2025. The exchange aims to create a 'many-to-many' trading platform. This will allow commercial and captive miners to sell coal. Coal Controller Organisation will regulate the exchange. This reform will support India's growing coal production, expected to exceed 1.

      Stock picks of the week: 5 stocks with consistent score improvement and an upside potential of up to 40%

      While it makes sense to wait for the storm to blow over, you cannot wait forever for perfect conditions to put money in the market. For, by the time perfect conditions arrive, stock prices may have moved up sharply. So, you have to take a risk. The trouble with taking a risk at this juncture is that it is not domestic but global factors that are creating uncertainty. And no one knows when and how they will resolve themselves. Our selected stocks today depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score, which is based on five key pillars – earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk, and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.

      For investors with a medium-term perspective: 7 large-caps from different sectors with an upside potential of up to 41%

      If you are waiting to turn bullish once President Trump thinks before speaking, then you probably have a long wait. Because that’s not going to happen. As an investor, you have to be bullish on India. Trump or no Trump, it’s an economy that is growing. Just to put this in perspective: Today, demand for air tickets is much higher than it was 10 years ago. Similarly, demand for expensive cars is much higher than it was a decade ago. Beyond high-ticket items, the demand for branded garments, too, is much higher today. So there is no reason why you should not be bullish on India. But as an investor, you can only buy a few stocks. So you need to be careful about what you are buying, and why you are buying it. And whether it should be bought at all or not.

      For good reasons & for all seasons: 9 stocks with the comfort called 'margin', and upside potential of more than 37%

      The market is constantly changing its colour. One statement on tariff makes everything bleed red; then a retraction or a pause paints everything green. While there is a lot of talk about a New World Order, one thing is for sure: Even in the New World Order the stock market is going to remain focused on earnings. So, let all such narratives continue. Just focus on the basics of investing. And that is the earnings, the margins, and the growth potential of businesses.

      These large-caps have ‘strong buy’ & ‘buy’ recos and an upside potential of more than 30%

      As the dollar index declines, most emerging markets are seeing some sort of a bounce-back. While there is nothing wrong in changing your stance from bearish to neutral, it would be better to be wary of some of the street narratives which are likely to come, one of them being about the paint industry. Also, because there is a fair amount of uncertainty for companies that have relationships with global trade, either as exporters or needing raw material from other countries, it would be better to stick to ones that are focused on the domestic market.

      A problem called dumping: 21 stocks from chemical & specialty chemical sector that may face business trouble in coming months

      Global stock markets, including India, are focused on tariffs. Which is probably why we are missing a bigger and more immediate threat: Dumping. While the threat of dumping is omnipresent for Indian manufacturers, it is more acute in some sectors. Mind you, this is not about the possibility of dumping. It is about its certainty. There will be dumping of different products. The reason is simple: Domestic use of those products is limited in China. If they cannot export them to the US or other countries due to tariffs, they will have to dump them somewhere. Anti-dumping duties may seem like an antidote, but it is not as easy as it sounds.

      Stock picks of the week: 5 stocks with consistent score improvement and an upside potential of up to 46%

      It is after a long time that our algorithm has come up with a list with the best of large-cap stocks. Does it indicate that the worst is over for the market? When the name of a top retailer appears on the list after a gap of over two years, does it mean the stock price has factored in the pressure which retailers have been witnessing with the coming of age of quick commerce and instant delivery? Given global conditions, one should, of course, be ready for volatile movements. But use this period to buy quality stocks. Our stocks today depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score, which is based on five key pillars – earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk, and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.

      BP bets on NEC-25 for gas surge, credits PM Modi's reforms

      BP Plc is targeting increased natural gas production in India, spurred by recent government reforms. The company, in partnership with Reliance Industries Ltd, aims to extract nearly 10 million cubic meters per day from the NEC-25 block. BP's CEO, Murray Auchincloss, highlighted that policy changes have improved the investment climate, attracting global players to support India's energy security.

      India's coal import declines marginally in Apr-Feb period

      India's coal imports saw a slight decrease of 1.4% to 240.77 million tonnes during April-February FY'25, compared to the previous year. This decline is attributed to high domestic stockpiles, reducing the need for imported coal. However, India's coal output increased to 928.95 MT, reflecting the nation's commitment to energy security and industrial growth.

      Forget tariffs, dumping will be the real headache soon: 23 stocks from one sector & its sub-segments where real business may be hit

      Spikes in stock prices may often be a result of sentiment moving from over-pessimistic to neutral territory. This is especially true when there is a sudden movement in stocks of an entire sector without rhyme or reason. To put this in perspective: Why did metal stocks rally on Friday? Had the demand for steel and copper increased in the previous 48 hours? No. In the current scenario, where tariffs will cause businesses to face real problems arising out of over-inventory and massive supply chain disruptions, take a sudden spike in any set of stocks related to China with more skepticism than optimism.

      Stock picks of the week: 5 stocks with consistent score improvement and return potential of more than 27% in 1 year

      It is now clear. The tariff war is essentially between China and the US. From the US perspective, it is either about improving the balance of trade or just taking geo-political advantage where a majority of countries are concerned. Now, with the 90-day window, many countries will likely sort out their issues with the US. Whatever be the case, the chances are that global markets will stay in volatile mode. Our selected stocks for today depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score which is based on five key pillars: Earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk, and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.

      These large- and mid-cap stocks can give more than 25% return in 1 year, according to analysts

      The markets will do what they are supposed to do when a New World Order is being written. No one can control it. So, if volatility is forcing you to make decisions that you regret the next day, stay away from the markets. Or, focus on a few things as an investor. One, ignore short-term market movements. Two, evaluate the sectors and businesses behind the stocks you own or plan to own. There is no better time to do this exercise than when the earning season kicks off. While Trump-induced volatility will continue, what finally matters is earnings. So, focus on earning and diversifying your portfolio.

      India contributed just 3.5% of global plastic waste in 2022: Analysis

      In 2022, global plastic waste reached 268 million tonnes, with China and the US being the largest contributors. While India accounted for 3.54% of the waste, its plastic consumption was 6% of the global total.

      With or without tariff war, focus on management & size: 6 large-caps from different sectors with upside potential of up to 44%

      In a bearish and volatile market, stock price movement impacts every decision. Monday was an extremely bearish day, but Friday may see very bullish sentiments, thanks to short-covering and other factors. Ignore such short-term price movements when making long-term investment decisions. Instead, consider factors such as industry trends, company financials, and more. Also, another, often decisive, factor: Does the company possess a significant advantage, or edge, over its competitors in the industry? This unique strength is what enables it to outperform its peers when the industry faces challenges.

      These large-caps have ‘strong buy’ & ‘buy’ recos and an upside potential of more than 30%

      If the US markets continue to drop as they have been doing, there is no way the Indian market, or for that matter any other market, whether emerging or developed, will see a standalone uptrend. Yes, there will be phases of relative outperformance. But the question for you, as an investor, is: Should you, for instance, sell a stock like HDFC Bank because the Dow and Nasdaq have crashed? This underperformer for three years has outperformed the falling market these past three months.

      Stock picks of the week: 5 stocks with consistent score improvement and an upside potential of up to 48%

      As the market sees sharp cuts, parallels may be drawn between what is happening today and what happened in the past, specifically around Covid. Yes, there are some similarities; but also some differences. So, before you go ahead, take those differences into account. Also, remember that such market conditions can keep the large institutional money on the sidelines as trade disruptions tend to impact earnings. Our selected stocks today depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score, which is based on five key pillars – earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk, and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.

      Jindal Power, Czech company Sev.en in race to acquire Apraava's thermal project

      Naveen Jindal's Jindal Power and Sev.en Global Investments are vying to acquire the 1,320-MW Jhajjar thermal power project from Apraava Energy as coal power demand increases. The asset is valued at approximately Rs 4,000 crore, and both companies are undergoing due diligence.

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