GEOPOLITICAL UNCERTAINTY IN INDIA
Stock bulls in India, Pakistan anticipate rebound after truce
Foreign investors, who had been on a 16-day buying streak in Indian shares until the clashes flared up Friday, may resume flows as volatility subsides. Meanwhile, in Pakistan, the International Monetary Fund’s approval of $1 billion in immediate disbursement along with a new $1.4 billion plan for climate resilience will be a booster for its fragile finances.
FPI declined in April to Rs 42 billion from Rs 63 billion in March: IDBI Capital
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) recorded a net inflow of Rs 42.2 billion, witnessing a decline from Rs 62.71 billion in March, according to the data compiled by IDBI Capital.
Gold ETF record outflow for second consecutive month amid surge in prices. Is it profit booking?
Gold ETFs experienced outflows in April, continuing a trend from March. However, the outflow amount decreased. Assets under management increased significantly year-on-year. Experts suggest investors are selectively returning due to inflation and geopolitical concerns. Gold continues to be a hedge amid market volatility. LIC MF Gold ETF was the top performer in April.
Gold edges higher on softer dollar ahead of key US-China trade talks
Gold prices surged over 1% on Friday, buoyed by a weaker dollar and market anticipation surrounding U.S.-China trade talks. Spot gold reached $3,340.29 an ounce, marking a 3.1% weekly gain and a 27% rise year-to-date. Trump's tariff comments and geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan further fueled gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, despite potential consolidation ahead.
Central banks across the world have added to their gold piles
Central banks globally are increasing their gold reserves, with nations like Russia, Egypt, and Argentina leading the surge. India's gold reserves have also risen significantly, reflecting a broader trend of diversification amid global uncertainties. While developed nations' gold holdings remain largely unchanged, countries like India and China have been steadily building up their reserves since 2014.
Gold glitters above $3,300 as global tensions rise and dollar retreats — will the rally continue or run out of steam? Here’s what the market is watching
Gold price above $3,300 holds firm as geopolitical tensions drive fresh safe-haven demand. After slipping to $3,274, gold rebounded, boosted by global unrest in Ukraine, the Middle East, and the India-Pakistan border. The modest U.S. dollar pullback and revived fears over inflation further support gold’s climb. While technical signals suggest caution, traders eye key resistance at $3,324 and $3,365. Gold’s direction hinges on geopolitical news, Fed signals, and global trade developments. Will it break $3,400 or dip below $3,265?
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Will the escalating India-Pakistan conflict continue to rattle stock market?
India's Volatility Index surged over 10% on Thursday due to escalating India-Pakistan military conflict concerns, triggering a late sell-off in equities. The Sensex and Nifty both experienced declines, with the Nifty falling 140 points and the Sensex dropping 412 points. Heightened uncertainty among traders led to profit-taking, as the VIX jumped nearly 40% since April 15.
Why stock market fell today: Sensex closes 880 pts lower, Nifty below 24,050; 5 reasons behind the decline
The Indian Army reported that Pakistani forces carried out multiple drone and munitions attacks overnight along the western border. Blasts were heard in Jammu during a missile and drone assault on military installations in the Kashmir region on Thursday night, marking the second day of cross-border hostilities.
India stock market towers 245 times over Pakistan's: A gulf too wide to ignore
Geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan, particularly after the Pahalgam attack and Operation Sindoor, have impacted their respective equity markets. India's Nifty50 has seen a relatively minor dip, while Pakistan's KSE-100 has experienced a significant plunge.
Geopolitical tensions not yet a red flag for investors: Cameron Brandt
Given the current US administration, never say never. But I actually think that a lot of investors who used President Trump's first term as a template have certainly been expecting that after the sound and fury a somewhat more palatable midpoint would be reached.
Defence stocks, consumer staples emerging as reliable plays for FY26: Religare's Dr Ravi Singh
Some Investors are shifting toward safe-haven assets like gold, U.S. Treasuries, and defensive sectors such as healthcare and consumer staples. Geographic diversification, higher cash holdings, and exposure to real assets like commodities and real estate offer protection.
NRI Talk | Long-short strategies, Gold, and India: InCred's Kalwani on NRI portfolio moves amid uncertainty
In this insightful conversation, Kalwani outlines how NRIs can reposition their portfolios with a focus on long-short equity strategies, precious metals like gold and silver, and India’s growing appeal as a manufacturing and investment hub.
Gold rises as Fed warns of economic uncertainty; Sino-US trade talks eyed
Gold prices saw an increase. This happened after the Federal Reserve gave warnings. They spoke of rising inflation and risks in the job market. Investors are now waiting for trade discussions between the US and China. The Fed also kept interest rates steady. Tensions are high between India and Pakistan following recent clashes.
Gold price falls as U.S-U.K announce trade deal; here's how much it fell and what experts are saying
Gold prices fall as U.S. President Donald Trump signals a major trade deal with Britain, easing market fears and reducing gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. With spot gold dropping 0.7% to $3,342.22 and U.S. gold futures down 1.3% to $3,347.90, investors shift focus to improving trade ties and a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, China’s gold import policy change and rising India-Pakistan tensions could still impact demand. Talks between the U.S. and China in Switzerland this weekend add more uncertainty. Here's a detailed breakdown of all the key events moving the precious metals market today.
Gold holds firm amid geopolitical tensions; WGC sees continued investment support
World Gold Council anticipates US policies to boost gold investment. Profit booking might temporarily slow it down. Gold prices surged in April, briefly exceeding US$3,500/oz. The US dollar's decline and geopolitical tensions supported gold's rise. Federal Reserve maintains cautious stance on interest rates amid inflation concerns. Trump's tariff stance impacts trade negotiations with China. These factors influence gold market trends.
Gold prices drop by Rs 1,700 intraday as dollar flexes muscles on Fed decision. Should you buy, sell or hold?
Gold prices fell by Rs 1,709 per 10 gram or 1.7% to hit the intraday low of Rs 95,381 on the MCX, taking cues from the international yellow metal prices. The fall was on account of a stronger dollar index (DXY) which shot up above the 100 mark against a basket of six top currencies.
Hostilities between India-Pakistan heighten credit risks for both nations: S&P
S&P Global Ratings says India and Pakistan tensions increase credit risks. Intense military actions are expected to be temporary. India retaliated to the Pahalgam massacre by destroying terror sites. Pakistan says it will give a befitting reply. S&P expects India to maintain strong economic growth. A prolonged conflict will derail Pakistan's macro stability.
Rupee rises 23 paise to 84.54 against US dollar in early trade
The rupee strengthened to 84.54 against the dollar following the US Federal Reserve's decision to hold steady interest rates. Sustained foreign fund inflows and a weaker dollar further bolstered the rupee. However, geopolitical tensions stemming from military actions near the border continue to weigh on investor sentiment.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: VUCA environment is the new normal amid tariff, India-Pakistan tension — stay agile, stay invested, says Niraj Kumar
Clearly, we are living in a “VUCA” world and volatility is par for the course, but what makes these volatile times interesting is that we can capitalise on the opportunity to acquire good businesses at relatively favourable valuations.
Can the market walk away from geopolitical tension & its after-effects? Vallabh Bhanshali answers
Vallabh Bhanshali of Enam Group highlights India's strong economic outlook amidst global volatility. International bodies acknowledge India's growth in services and manufacturing. Bhanshali notes India's strategic diplomacy, particularly concerning Pakistan and Afghanistan. He emphasizes India's focus on democracy and long-term relationships. The market reflects both global uncertainties and India's growing confidence.
Moody's cuts India growth forecast for 2025 to 6.3%
Moody's has reduced India's economic growth prediction for 2025 to 6.3 percent. This revision is due to policy changes and trade uncertainties. Geopolitical risks, including India-Pakistan tensions, also contribute. The IMF and World Bank have also lowered their growth forecasts for India. China's and US's economic growth are also expected to slow down.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | Is gold the new growth asset? 3 reasons why yellow metal rose 28% in 4 months: Ajit Banerjee
We are all aware markets do not like uncertainty of any type, and by nature, it is forward-looking. Hence, it reacts either positively or negatively depending upon the underlying developments.
Will India-Pakistan conflict lead to a major stock market decline?
India-Pakistan Conflict: The BSE Sensex fell 0.2%, or 155.7 points, to close at 80,641, while the NSE Nifty-50 slipped 0.3%, or 81.55 points to end at 24,379. Adani Enterprises, Jio Financial, SBI Life, Trent, and Eternal were among the top Nifty losers.
The yield curve is dead, long live customized duration
Traditional yield curve strategies are becoming obsolete amid global volatility. Investors must now adopt tailored approaches like bond laddering, hold-to-maturity tactics, and mid-grade corporate exposure. As curves invert or flatten unpredictably, duration management requires personalization over outdated heuristics to ensure resilience in evolving fixed-income landscapes.
Moody's sees risks from Indo-Pak tensions after cutting India's GDP growth forecast to 6.3% for 2025
Moody's Ratings has revised India's GDP growth forecast for 2025 downward to 6.3% due to anticipated global economic slowdown driven by US policy uncertainties and trade restrictions. Geopolitical tensions, including those between India and Pakistan, pose further downside risks. While India's 2026 growth projection remains at 6.5%, global trade and investment are expected to be dampened by these factors.
India's IPO market loses steam on global market jitters
Several Indian companies are delaying their initial public offerings. This is due to weak investor sentiment and global economic uncertainty. Avanse Financial and Anthem Biosciences are among those postponing plans. Geopolitical tensions and global trade frictions are contributing factors. The market debut of Ather Energy will be a test of investor appetite.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | Ajay Lakhotia’s asset strategy: 50% equities, 20% Gold, 10% REITs for 30-40 year olds
In an exclusive interview with ETMarkets, Lakhotia shares his ideal portfolio mix for this age group, highlighting a 50% allocation to equities, 20% to gold, 10% to REITs or international funds, and 20% to debt instruments.
Apple supplier Jabil eyeing more AirPods casing from India plants
As Apple accelerates efforts to diversify its manufacturing base beyond China, supplier Jabil is set to scale up production of AirPods enclosures in India through a second planned facility. Jabil currently manufactures plastic casings for Apple’s earphones at its Pune plants. Sources told us the company now aims to expand operations by leveraging its Tiruchirappalli factory in Tamil Nadu.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: From Gold to large caps—where smart money is moving to build wealth, Ashutosh Tiwari decodes
From the quiet but powerful moves in gold reserves by global central banks—especially China—to the relative value emerging in large-cap stocks, Tiwari breaks down how investors can realign their portfolios for long-term wealth creation.
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